Senegal remains in contention for a spot in the round of 16 at the 2026 World Cup despite losses to France and Norway. A decisive match against Iraq presents a key opportunity for the Senegalese team to advance. The expanded 48-team format of the tournament, allowing the top eight third-place teams to progress, significantly boosts their chances. Statistical projections from Football Meets Data and Opta suggest a greater than 70% probability of Senegal qualifying as a third-place team. A victory against Iraq would likely secure three points and strengthen their position. The match is considered a must-win for both teams, with Senegal aiming to capitalize on encouraging data and maintain their tournament dream.