A Ukrainian military commander, Major General Oleksandr Pivnenko, has stated that a Russian attack launched from Belarusian territory is a real possibility if Russia amasses 70,000 troops there. Pivnenko, head of Ukraine’s National Guard, indicated that Ukraine possesses capabilities to deter such an attack and warned Belarusians against joining a potential conflict. He suggested Ukraine could disrupt any Russian plans originating from Belarus. The commander did not specify the nature of these deterrent capabilities. This assessment comes amid ongoing tensions and concerns about Belarus’s potential role in the war. Pivnenko’s comments serve as a direct warning to both Russia and Belarus regarding the consequences of escalating the conflict from Belarusian soil.