For twenty-five years, analysts have frequently expressed concern that the West might lose Turkey due to recurring diplomatic disputes. These tensions peaked during the 2003 Iraq invasion, when Turkey denied U.S. forces access to its territory. Similar concerns arose in 2010 regarding UN sanctions against Iran and again in 2017 with the purchase of Russian S-400 missile systems. Such actions sparked fears that NATO's second-largest military power was drifting toward Russia. However, a recent analysis by Foreign Affairs suggests a shift in dynamics. The cooling of relations between Vladimir Putin and Recep Tayyip Erdogan is now benefiting the West. Turkey is undergoing a discreet realignment that strengthens the alliance's cohesion. This strategic shift represents a a gain for NATO and a loss for Russia.
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