Ukraine’s HUR (Chief Intelligence Directorate) reports Russia possesses sufficient military and economic resources for the coming year, but these are projected to diminish by 2028. General Oleg Iwaszczenko, head of the HUR, stated this assessment is based on current intelligence estimates. Ukrainian intelligence indicates Russia is currently experiencing a significant disparity between soldier losses and recruitment rates. The rate of fatalities along the front lines is also reported as exceptionally high. These factors contribute to the Ukrainian intelligence agency’s conclusion regarding the timeline of Russia’s resource depletion. The assessment suggests a potential turning point in the conflict as Russia’s capacity for sustained military operations faces limitations within the next six years.