President Putin is signaling concern over the increasing practice of European countries detaining Russian oil tankers. Recent military exercises appear to be a dual strategy: deterring further seizures and demonstrating capability despite limitations. Russia is reacting to the growing pressure on its oil exports via sea routes, a key source of revenue. Simultaneously, Putin is reviving a historical territorial dispute with Japan, potentially as a distraction or to test international response. Experts suggest Russia has limited options to directly counter the tanker detentions. The move with Japan carries little risk, offering a chance to showcase resolve without significant drawbacks. This situation highlights the escalating economic and geopolitical tensions surrounding the conflict in Ukraine and its impact on Russian commerce.

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