Supporters of France, led by Sonia Backès, are aiming for significant gains in New Caledonia’s upcoming provincial elections on June 28th. The elections are considered crucial for the territory’s future, occurring two years after widespread riots. Loyalists believe divisions among pro-independence and centrist factions will benefit their chances of success. They express a desire to return to the political climate that existed before the unrest. The “vague bleue” (blue wave) refers to the hoped-for surge in support for loyalist candidates. This election represents a key moment in determining New Caledonia’s political direction following a period of instability. The outcome will likely shape the territory’s relationship with France.