Cuba is facing a severe oil blockade imposed by the United States, lasting almost five months, amid concerns of potential military action. Some Cubans believe the ongoing FIFA World Cup, with matches held in nearby Miami, may deter the US from escalating tensions, hoping for a respite until the tournament concludes on July 19th. Former Cuban ambassador to the EU, Carlos Alzugaray, suggests the proximity of Cuba to the US and its potential retaliatory capabilities – including drones – could make a US military intervention more difficult. The island’s ability to strike targets within the US, particularly in South Florida, is seen as a deterrent. Despite this hope, Cuba is simultaneously preparing for the possibility of continued or increased US aggression. The situation highlights the complex interplay between sporting events, geopolitical tensions, and national security concerns.