Belarus is increasingly concerned about potential escalation of the war in Ukraine, potentially turning a “cold war” into a “hot war” this summer. This fear stems from mounting pressure on Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko from Moscow to increase his country’s involvement in the conflict. While Belarus has previously provided support to Russia, the extent of direct engagement has been limited. Kyiv recently issued an ultimatum regarding Belarus’s role, and indications suggest this warning has had an impact, raising anxieties in Minsk. The situation is volatile, with the possibility of Belarus becoming more directly involved in the war a growing concern for Ukraine and the international community. Experts believe Moscow is seeking to utilize Belarusian territory and resources to further its military objectives. This escalation could significantly alter the dynamics of the ongoing conflict.