Recent US military strikes in Iran, intended to pressure the government, are unexpectedly bolstering support for the ruling clerical establishment among residents of the country’s already struggling southern region. Long-simmering opposition to the Iranian government hasn’t translated into dissent against the regime, but rather directed frustration at President Trump and the US-led air campaign. Residents report their lives have been significantly disrupted by the attacks, deepening existing hardships. This counterproductive outcome challenges the assumption that economic pressure or military action will incite popular uprising. Instead, the strikes are perceived as external aggression, unifying some segments of the population behind the government. The situation highlights the complexities of regional dynamics and the unintended consequences of foreign intervention. This suggests a need to reassess strategies aimed at influencing political change within Iran.

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