Senegal remains in contention for a spot in the round of 16 at the 2026 World Cup, despite losses to France and Norway. Statistical models from Football Meets Data and Opta predict a 72% and 69.54% chance of qualification, respectively, based on their potential to be among the best third-place finishers. The expanded tournament format, allowing eight third-place teams to advance, significantly boosts Senegal’s prospects. A victory against Iraq on June 26th in Toronto is crucial for improving their standing. The outcome will also depend on results in other groups, with Group L currently looking favorable for a third-place team to advance. Senegal’s chances demonstrate that their World Cup journey is far from over, despite the initial setbacks.
