Latvian intelligence officials have warned that Russia is preparing operations against Poland and the Baltic states, employing tactics including rockets, drones, and hybrid warfare. However, a full-scale conflict is not currently indicated, as Moscow is assessed to be incapable of waging a conventional war against NATO. The intelligence suggests Russia aims to deter Western support for Ukraine through these actions. While the operations may vary in effectiveness, Russia retains the capacity to exert pressure on the West. The focus appears to be on destabilization and dissuasion rather than outright military confrontation with the alliance. These preparations highlight heightened tensions in the region and a continued Russian effort to influence the geopolitical landscape surrounding Ukraine. The Latvian intelligence assessment underscores the need for vigilance and preparedness among NATO member states.