Russia is reportedly conditioning any potential peace negotiations on gaining control of the Donbas region in eastern Ukraine. However, sources within Ukraine’s DeepState intelligence group estimate achieving this objective would require two years of continued fighting and inflict immense casualties on both sides. This assessment aligns with three independent evaluations, suggesting a consensus on the protracted and devastating nature of a full Russian takeover of Donbas. The demand effectively raises the stakes for negotiations and highlights the significant military challenge Russia faces in fully securing the area. The DeepState analysis indicates that any Russian advance would be met with fierce resistance, prolonging the conflict and escalating losses. This situation casts doubt on the possibility of a swift resolution to the war. The assessments underscore the strategic importance of Donbas and the high price Russia would likely pay for its complete control.