A confidential Sberbank analysis, detailing predictions about the war in Ukraine, has surfaced following a hack by the Black Mirror group. The leaked document, reviewed by Meduza, outlines potential scenarios for the conflict’s resolution. Notably, the report suggests a possibility of a negotiated settlement facilitated by a future “Trump deal.” Surprisingly, the analysis also predicts a potential defeat for Moscow in Ukraine, a stark contrast to official Kremlin narratives. The internal assessment offers a pessimistic outlook on Russia’s long-term prospects related to the war. This leak provides rare insight into the thinking within Russia's largest state-owned bank regarding the ongoing conflict. The full extent of the report's predictions remains under investigation.