Finland’s President Alexander Stubb has stated he doesn’t believe Russia would directly attack a NATO member. He clarified this assessment isn’t due to trust in Russian President Vladimir Putin, but a calculation of Russia's military capabilities and strategic interests. Stubb anticipates Russia will instead focus on disruptive tactics and gray-zone warfare, employing provocations below the threshold of a full military conflict. He emphasized the importance of NATO’s preparedness and vigilance in responding to such actions. The President noted Russia views NATO expansion as a defeat, driving its aggressive behavior. Finland, a recent NATO joiner, is focused on bolstering its own defense and supporting Ukraine. Stubb highlighted the need for increased defense spending among NATO allies to effectively deter Russian aggression and maintain security.