A new report, the Coalition Barometer, forecasts potential instability following the 2026 local government elections in the GNU. The analysis suggests that the results are likely to remain fragmented, leading to a rise in “hung councils” – where no single party holds a majority. This situation will likely necessitate complex power-sharing agreements and potentially unstable coalitions. The report indicates that the GNU has not significantly altered the dynamics of local coalition politics. Consequently, governing at the local level could become more challenging and unpredictable after the 2026 elections. The findings highlight the need for parties to prepare for negotiations and compromise in forming viable administrations. Further volatility in local governance within the GNU is anticipated.